It is now 6:07PM on Tuesday, November 8th, 2016, and I hereby declare that Hillary Clinton has won the elections and become president. Here’s why:
The first polls close at 6:00PM exactly. Look at what happened to volatility, in this case UVXY, at exactly 6:00PM, the time the very first voting booths close.
Obviously, volatility would go down with Hillary as people fear Trump and, notably, his 35% protectionist tax. Here, we can see UVXY going down from $14.50 to $14.00 within minutes.
Of course, this data is obtained from exit polls around the country. UVXY is traded by huge hedge funds and banks and they have their own observers/pollers to ensure they get the answer “first.”
This graph shows that Hillary Clinton has won. UVXY will open below $12 tomorrow morning.